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However, it was made public today that the 37 at-large teams had already been decided before the weekend even began!!! So what does today's slate of games truly mean then? That is still to be determined.
So if the field is supposedly already set, I guess it's time to make it known a few hours ahead of time isn't it? Consider this Dotson's challenge against "Joey Brackets" to see who predicts the field better.
Let's start with the locks per league: (automatic bid indicated by CAPS)
| A 10 | 2 | temple | saint louis | |||||
| ACC | 4 | duke | unc | virginia | florida st | |||
| AM EAST | 1 | VERMONT | ||||||
| ATL SUN | 1 | BELMONT | ||||||
| BIG 12 | 5 | MISSOURI | kansas | iowa state | baylor | kansas st | ||
| BIG EAST | 6 | LOUISVILLE | cinci | gtown | nd | syracuse | marq | |
| BIG SKY | 1 | MONTANA | ||||||
| BIG SOUTH | 1 | UNC ASHE | ||||||
| BIG TEN | 6 | msu | mich | wisc | osu | ind | purdue | |
| BIG WEST | 1 | LONG BEACH | ||||||
| COLONIAL | 1 | VCU | ||||||
| CONF USA | 1 | MEMPHIS | ||||||
| GREAT WEST | 0 | - - - - - - - | ||||||
| HORIZON | 1 | DETROIT | ||||||
| IVY LEAGUE | 1 | HARVARD | ||||||
| MAAC | 1 | LOYOLA | ||||||
| MAC | 1 | OHIO | ||||||
| MEAC | 1 | NORFOLK ST | ||||||
| MTN WEST | 3 | NEW MEXICO | unlv | sd state | ||||
| MVC | 2 | CREIGHTON | Wichita St | |||||
| NEC | 1 | LONG ISLAND | ||||||
| OVC | 1 | MURRAY ST | ||||||
| PAC 12 | 1 | COLORADO | ||||||
| PATRIOT | 1 | LEHIGH | ||||||
| SEC | 4 | florida | kentucky | vandy | alabama | |||
| SOCON | 1 | DAVIDSON | ||||||
| SOUTHLAND | 1 | LAMAR | ||||||
| SUMMIT | 1 | SDAKTOA ST | ||||||
| sun belt | 1 | WESTERN KY | ||||||
| SWAC | 1 | MISS VALLEY | ||||||
| WAC | 1 | NEW MEX. ST | ||||||
| WCC | 2 | ST. MARY | Gonzaga | |||||
That means that right now there are 56 spots taken, 12 left to be determined by bubble teams. If St. Bonaventure wins today in the A10 title game, that number will drop to 11 immediately. Some have Xavier in the field already (myself included) so they winning today does not affect the last 12 teams into the field (Xavier being one of them).
So let's take a look at the at-large teams who have a chance to make the field:
57. Southern Miss
58. Connecticut
59. South Florida
60. Texas
61. West Virginia
62. Colorado State
63. Mississippi State
64. Xavier
65. California
66. NC State
67. Northwestern
68. Drexel
69. Seton Hall
70. Iona
71. BYU
72. Miami
73. Mississippi
74. Washington
75. Arizona
76. Tennessee
77. St. Joseph's
78. Oregon
79. Valparaiso
80. Dayton
So by my calculations, Drexel is rooting for Xavier, otherwise their tournament spot is likely lost. Teams like NC State and Northwestern to me make the tournament based on the eye test. Drexel should as well. These teams LOOK LIKE tournament teams. They play good, close, solid basketball games. Joey Brackets has Seton Hall into the dance, where I see them not as a tournament team but as a group who has not won a meaningful game all year. Iona, Oregon, Miami, and Washington have too many flaws on their resume, while Tennessee lost too early to have any chance!
So, to finish everything up, let's take a look at the top four seeds in the dance:
#1 Seeds: Kentucky, Syracuse, North Carolina, Michigan State (with victory today) / Kansas
#2 Seeds: Michigan State (with loss today) / Kansas, Missouri, Ohio State, Marquette
#3 Seeds: Duke, Baylor, Michigan, Louisville
#4 Seeds: Georgetown, Wisconsin, Florida State, Indiana
#5 Seeds: Vanderbilt, Florida, Murray State, Notre Dame
Enjoy the fun of Selection Sunday everybody!
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